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Multi-agent trading system tests LLM news judgment and tracks attacks

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Researchers built a Jev-compatible multi-agent trading system to test whether the system tracks or follows web news when it lags the market. In a hash-commitment test, a reader based on fixed-version LLM option probabilities correlated with abnormal returns in announcement windows for web news (weekly Spearman 0.119), and event types matched issuers' 8-K filings (AUC 0.833). A weekly confirmation test found no ranking information beyond code-only features; in an attack scenario, decision cards traced 88% of successful attacks to planted entries.

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Nov 7
  1. arXiv
    Jev-compatible multi-agent trading system: when online news lags the market, track or follow?

    Researchers built a Jev-compatible multi-agent trading system; in a hash-commitment test, a reader based on fixed-version LLM option probabilities judged online news in a way correlated with abnormal returns in announcement windows (weekly Spearman 0.119), and event types matched issuers' 8-K filings (AUC 0.833). A weekly confirmation test found no ranking information beyond code features alone, and under attack the decision card traced 88% of successful attacks to planted entries.

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