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Hinton等22人发表首篇RSI论文

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Geoffrey Hinton、Yoshua Bengio、Andrew Barto、Jakub Pachocki等22位作者联合发表论文《What if automating AI R&D triggers an intelligence explosion?》,讨论AI大规模参与研发下一代AI是否会形成递归自我改进闭环。论文引用Anthropic等实验室内部数据:AI生成的获批代码比例从2025年1月的低个位数升至2026年5月的超

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Oct 5
  1. 量子位
    Hinton等22人发表首篇RSI论文,讨论AI研发自动化能否触发智能爆炸

    Geoffrey Hinton、Yoshua Bengio、Andrew Barto、Jakub Pachocki等22位作者联合发表论文《What if automating AI R&D triggers an intelligence explosion?》,讨论AI大规模参与研发下一代AI是否会形成递归自我改进闭环。论文引用Anthropic等实验室内部数据:AI生成的获批代码比例从2025年1月的低个位数升至2026年5月的超过80%;2026年3月Claude在仅接受高层次人类监督时可自主完成约1%的研发工作,到同年8月升至26%。论文提出有效研发劳动力概念,认为AI研究员可复制、可同步升级,理论上可支撑至少数百万名顶级人类研究员等价的研发劳动力,并估算在研究回报r约1.2至1.9等假设下,AI技术进步速度可能在大约1.5年内提高10倍,即今天一年的进步压缩到约5周。

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