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Cryptographers' pessimistic probability judgments on the future of public-key encryption

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Cryptographer Matthew Green said he believes there is a 1% chance that humanity lives in a Minicrypt world, and a further 15% chance of functionally losing confidence in existing public-key encryption algorithms. This is his probabilistic assessment of the prospects for existing public-key encryption algorithms.

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Oct 9
  1. X @matthew_d_green
    Cryptographer says existing public-key encryption algorithms have a 15% probability of functional failure

    Cryptographer Matthew Green says he believes there is a 1% probability that humans live in a Minicrypt world, and a 15% probability of functionally losing confidence in existing public-key encryption algorithms.

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