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Dangerous capabilities · News

Oct 13 · Tuesday

Dangerous capabilities · News

Latest publications and developments
TodayOct 13Tue
  1. Anthropic Red TeamingAnthropic Red Teaming · ↑163

    Anthropic red team demonstrates small models self-replicating on IoT devices

    Anthropic red-team research shows that small AI models might be able to self-replicate on commercial IoT devices in just a few months. In evaluations, Qwen3.5-9B successfully set up an inference service on 8 out of 9 hardware types, models with 30B parameters or fewer can already complete most single steps of the replication chain, and GLM-5.2 can replicate end-to-end in a simplified evaluation. The study also used 15 Android TV boxes costing about $55 each to run Gemma4-26B-A4B in a distributed manner, at a speed of about 0.39 tokens/s; if small models improve at historical rates, they could achieve this capability by the end of this year.

Oct 12Mon
  1. The Verge AI, WIRED Security and AI · 7 sourcesThe Verge AI · 7 sources · 7 reports · ↑1179

    Meta releases its first frontier model, the Muse Wonder series

    Meta's Superintelligence Lab releases two models, Muse Wonder and Muse Wonder Full, calling them the company's first frontier models. According to tests published by Meta in the model card, the two models are comparable in benchmark scores to Anthropic's Claude Fable 5.1 and OpenAI's GPT-6 Astra, with the largest version exceeding Fable 5.1 on the Artificial Analysis Intelligence Index and slightly below Claude Opus 5.5. Zuckerberg says Meta has reached the AI frontier and rejects calls to slow AI development. Muse Wonder has turned closed-source, with the strongest version sold directly to enterprises; when accessed via the Meta Model API, Wonder charges $4 per million input tokens and $20 per million output tokens, and users of the Muse personal agent app must pay $20 or $100 per month to use the model. Meta says the model offers the strongest guardrails to date against online abuse, available only with the paid model; Meta AI head Alexandr Wang says it is trained to try other methods when encountering obstacles. Some users complained that Muse accessed personal messages without authorization, which Meta denied. The newly published model card further discloses the safety evaluation methodology: of the 92 flag captures listed in the ExploitGym table, a footnote explains that only 21 used the intended vulnerability, with the remaining 71 using unintended vulnerabilities, and the score comparable to published leaderboards is 21; Meta states that it cannot rule out that the unmitigated Full version reaches the high-risk threshold for chemical and biological threats, and after mitigations such as safety training and system classifiers, residual risk in each domain is rated as moderate or below; the model card states that the evaluation cannot cover all usage scenarios, and the flag capture effectiveness footnote was reviewed by a model validator and another model, not an independent human audit.

Oct 10Sat
  1. CBS News · TechnologyCBS News · Technology · 48

    Tech Against Terrorism test: three out of five AI models fail terrorism safety test

    The UK nonprofit Tech Against Terrorism ran counterterrorism safety tests on more than 130 models, and three-fifths of the models failed. The organization defined failure as giving one complete, specific response related to mass casualties on the counterterrorism safety benchmark, or scoring below 90 out of 100. In the tests, open-weight models scored similarly to closed-source models, but models whose guardrails were removed via abliteration all failed. Meta's Llama 3.1 8B scored 97 before guardrail removal and dropped to about 3 afterward.

Oct 7Wed
  1. Vanity FairVanity Fair · 34

    Anthropic在Claude 3.7发布前处理危险能力评估

    Vanity Fair报道称,Anthropic前沿红队在Claude 3.7 Sonnet发布前三天收到一批评估结果,其“能力提升差值”远超预期:在开发生物武器等恶意任务的测试中,可使用Claude的受试者成功率明显高于仅用Google和教科书的对照组。按Anthropic 2023年发布的Responsible Scaling Policy,该结果在部分极端场景下触及ASL-3阈值,团队需在三天内决定是否推迟发布。

  2. OpenAI Deployment Safety, TechCrunch AI · 7 sourcesOpenAI Deployment Safety · 7 sources · 7 reports · ↑157

    OpenAI launches GPT-6 and Intelligent UI

    OpenAI launches GPT-6 on ChatGPT globally, and introduces Intelligent UI, with answers presented as interactive visual elements such as charts, buttons, and forms, and can generate embedded tools like savings calculators and mini-games. Paid users use GPT-6 Sol, free and Go users use GPT-6 Luna. According to TechCrunch and The Verge, the interface is rolling out globally to Plus, Pro, Business, and Enterprise, with free and Go tiers available the next day; QbitAI says free and Go users have started receiving GPT-6 Luna, replacing the previous GPT-5.6 Luna. On safety, OpenAI published the October safety evaluation update for GPT-6 Sol and GPT-6 Luna: both are rated High capability in the biological and chemical domains, GPT-6 Sol's Critical capability evaluation did not cross the indicative threshold, and GPT-6 Luna was not separately tested for Critical capability because its scores on all High capability evaluations were lower than GPT-5.6 Sol. Another report says OpenAI's GPT-6 report indicates a regression in teen safety.

    Latest developments
    1. OpenAI globally releases GPT-6 and Intelligent UI

    2. OpenAI releases GPT-6 Sol/Luna deployment safety update

  3. Generality Labs · 53

    Generality Labs audits LABBench2, finding most task sets saturated and graders unreliable

    Generality Labs audited the 11 task sets of the biological capability benchmark LABBench2, concluding that most literature task sets are saturated and ProtocolQA2 scores are hard to trust. The benchmark has 1,912 tasks in total; five of the seven literature task sets are saturated or near-saturated, and the molecular biology SeqQA2 is also saturated. The audit points out that ProtocolQA2's construct validity is questionable: across four grading models, pass rates ranged from 47% for GPT-5.6 Terra to 59% for Gemini 3.7 Flash, a 12-percentage-point difference. When DbQA2 was moved from the benchmark's tools setting to an agent sandbox, GPT-5.6 Luna rose from 42% to 73% and Terra from 45% to 70%. CloningQA has only 14 questions, making it unusable for cross-model comparisons.

Oct 5Mon
  1. DrivingBench, The Drive · 4 sourcesDrivingBench · 4 sources · 4 reports · 54

    DrivingBench 通用智能体低速实车测试

    研究者 Aditya Ramabadran、Simon Mahns 和 Tobias Gessler 搭建 DrivingBench,将 GPT-6 Astra、GPT-5.6 Sol、Claude Fable 5.1 和 Grok 4.6 等通用智能体接入一辆搭载 Comma Four 视觉硬件与 openpilot 的 2022 款 Toyota Corolla,通过无线链路由远程模型下达油门、刹车和转向指令,在停车场锥桶围出的短程点到点路线中驾驶。四款模型共进行 11 次尝试,8 次未跑完路线 11% 就在第一个弯道撞出,GPT-6 Astra 是唯一完成 134.7 米赛道的模型,多数失败涉及场景感知;作者还观察到安全拒绝会随任务呈现方式变化。这是在人工安全接管和限速措施下进行的小样本受控实车评测,不能据此保证无人监管驾驶安全。

Oct 2Fri
  1. 韩国 AI 安全研究所韩国 AI 安全研究所 · 34

    韩国AISI发布《前沿AI风险更新2026上半年》韩文版

    2026年10月2日,韩国人工智能安全研究所(AISI)与 AI Risk Explorer(AIRE)合作发布《前沿 AI 风险更新 2026 年上半年》韩文版。报告基于公开的模型评估、基准、事故案例与研究,梳理前沿 AI 能力与风险动向,围绕网络攻击、失控、生物风险与操纵四个领域展开,指出 Claude Mythos 5、GPT-5.5、GLM-5.2 等模型在推理、编程与长期任务自主性上明显提升。

Sep 29Tue
  1. OpenAI Deployment Safety, OpenAIOpenAI Deployment Safety · 2 sources · 2 reports · ↑151

    OpenAI releases GPT-6.1 Sol model

    OpenAI releases GPT-6.1 Sol, aimed at programming, computer operation, and professional work scenarios, with intelligence close to GPT-6 Astra, and standard API input and output token prices only one-fifth of Astra's. OpenAI also released a supplement to the GPT-6 Astra System Card introducing the model: under the Preparedness Framework, GPT-6.1 Sol is considered Critical capability in cybersecurity, High capability in biology and chemistry, and below the High threshold in AI self-improvement, so it retains the same safeguards as GPT-6 Astra.

Sep 23Wed
  1. SecureBio · 50

    SecureBio 谈如何评测超越人类水平的生物能力

    SecureBio 的 Shiv Muthupandiyan 指出,前沿 AI 模型在生物安全相关能力上已超过人类专家,评测必须从测试代理指标转向测试真实技能,但生物领域无法像国际象棋那样直接对弈,也不能像网络安全那样在真实代码中验证漏洞。文中给出的数据是,前沿模型在 Virology Capabilities Test(VCT)上的准确率在 2024 年初超过专家中位数 22%,在 2026 年超过最佳专家 50%,并在高难度生物学问题上得分是世界级专家的三倍。作者认为,超越人类前沿后分数不再对应可解释的现实能力,而直接测试双重用途生物技能本身就可能制造信息危害。可行的路径是组合可独立验证的窄任务,例如预测蛋白质折叠或抗病毒药物效果、设计无害生物产物,并观察相邻领域的信号,包括 LLM 智能体加速科研带来的能力提升,以及 AI 助长的复杂犯罪和极端暴力案件是否增加。

Sep 22Tue
  1. Anthropic · 57

    Anthropic 发布 Claude Opus 5.5 System Card

    Anthropic 发布 Claude Opus 5.5 System Card,称该模型在编码、Agent 与计算机使用、数学与科学推理及长周期专业任务上较 Claude Opus 5 提升,部分评测追平或超过 Claude Fable 5.1 与 Claude Mythos 5.1。在 RSP 与 FCF 评估中,Anthropic 将 Opus 5.5 判定为具备 CB-1 能力但不具备 CB-2 能力,理由是其在开放式构想、文献表述可靠性和缺乏专业知识时的科学错误等弱点上未较 Mythos 5.1 改善,因此沿用与 Claude Fable 5 系列相同的扩展生物安全护栏。AI R&D 能力处于或略高于 Mythos 5.1,但远未达到替代其研究人员的水平,内部指标未显示持续的 AI 归因 2 倍开发加速,METR 外部测试结论一致。

Sep 18Fri
  1. 韩国 AI 安全研究所 · 52

    韩国 AISI 与 Scale AI 发布 ROK-FORTRESS 多语言安全基准

    韩国人工智能安全研究所(Korea AISI)与 Scale AI 联合发布多语言安全基准 ROK-FORTRESS,基于 Scale AI 的 FORTRESS 构建,用受控的跨语言改写矩阵把提示词语言与地缘语境分开调整,每个对抗提示词最多评估 4 种变体。数据集覆盖 CBRNE 威胁、政治暴力与恐怖主义、犯罪与金融活动、信息泄露 4 个领域共 1235 个任务,并为每个对抗提示词配一个无害对照提示词以测量过度拒答,评分由经专家参考标签校准的 LLM-as-judge 面板按专业红队成员编写的二值评分标准完成。在 14 个模型上,韩语且韩国语境的提示词一致对应更低的危害性,英语提示词的风险分最高,危害性最高与最低的模型之间风险分相差近 9 倍。去掉角色扮演、虚构背景、情感诉求等对抗包装后,专有模型在韩语上仍略更安全,而 5 个开源前沿模型在韩语请求上反而更可能作答。

Sep 17Thu
  1. NIST CAISI · 60

    CAISI 评估 Z.ai GLM-5.3 的网络能力

    NIST 下属 CAISI 发布对 Z.ai(原智谱 AI)GLM-5.3 网络能力的评估,认为它是迄今网络能力最强的开源权重模型,但仍显著低于美国当前前沿模型,综合网络能力指数落后约四个月。评估覆盖四项基准:SEC-Bench Pro 上 GLM-5.3 成功率 40.4%(74/183),美国前沿最佳 90.2%,中国前沿最佳 27.3%;ExploitBench 上为 61.1%(9.8/16),美国前沿最佳 100.0%,中国前沿最佳 32.2%;ExploitGym(Userspace)为 9.4%(47/498),美国前沿最佳 44.4%,中国前沿最佳 2.6%;CAISI OSS-Fuzz 为 7.7%(23/297),美国前沿最佳 23.2%,中国前沿最佳 2.4%。多数评测中,此前的中国前沿最佳模型是 Kimi K3。

Sep 15Tue
  1. SecureBio · 56

    SecureBio 发布 GPT-6 Astra 发布前生物风险评测报告

    SecureBio 对 OpenAI 于 2026 年 9 月 3 日公开发布的旗舰模型 GPT-6 Astra 做了发布前生物滥用能力评测,测试了带与不带系统级生物护栏的版本。在知识基准上,Astra 在 VCT 和 VCT-v2 上超过此前所有被测模型,相对 GPT-5.6 Sol 分别提升 4.3 和 8 个百分点,比人类专家基线高 30 多个百分点;HPCT 得分与 GPT-5.6 Sol 接近,WCB 得分为 61.6% ± 0.6%,低约 7 个百分点,报告认为这主要源于模型更倾向于含糊作答而非知识缺口。在智能体基准上,Astra 在 ReproBAIT 达到已发表性能的 80-83%(GPT-5.6 Sol 为 63-69%),是首个能生成满足 in silico 可设计性阈值的 de novo 蛋白质设计的模型;无护栏版本还首次完整给出规避 DNA 合成筛查的复杂策略。

Sep 11Fri
  1. SecureBio · 43

    SecureBio 发布 VCT-v2 病毒学能力测试,移除 43 道题并编辑 163 道

    SecureBio 更新其旗舰病毒学能力测试 VCT,发布更抗捷径的 VCT-v2,共 279 道题。审计确认多数题目科学有效且基准未饱和,但为提升有效上限,团队用确定性标准标记可疑题目并由病毒学专家人工复核,最终移除 43 道(13.4%)题目(含 25 道无区分度的简单题)、编辑 163 道(50.6%),116 道保持不变。测试模型在 VCT-v2 上的准确率比 VCT 下降 1.0 至 7.1 个百分点,最强与最弱模型间差距基本保持(26.6% 对 26.1%),人类专家基线仍约 21%。标记流程发现 87/322(27.0%)道题可被模型在缺少图片或题干的情况下答对,VCT-v2 显著降低了这类捷径利用。作者估计 VCT-v2 的有效上限不低于 79%,高于 VCT 的 23 个百分点余量,并建议将基准维护作为持续工作、加入捷径抵抗检查。

Sep 10Thu
  1. Anthropic Research · 64

    Anthropic 红队发布评估:AI 模型的情报定位与常规武器开发能力

    Anthropic 前沿红队评估模型在战术情报定位与常规武器相关任务中的能力,涉及账号关联、人员分类、照片和文字地理定位,以及无人机引导控制仿真。报告称部分模型在所测任务上表现出较强能力,但照片定位的人类 GeoGuessr 对照与模型任务并非同一数据集,不能把误差数字直接当作同条件的人机排名。文本定位结果也部分依赖用户主动透露的地点。武器相关结果来自模拟任务,不等于已验证的现实攻击能力。

Sep 8Tue
  1. OpenAI Deployment Safety · 43

    OpenAI 发布 ChatGPT Images 2.5 System Card

    OpenAI 发布 ChatGPT Images 2.5 System Card,说明 GPT-Image-2.5-Sunburst 与 GPT-Image-2.5-Flare 的训练数据来源与安全评估结果。两个模型使用公开互联网数据、第三方合作数据以及用户和人类训练师提供的数据训练,数据处理流程包含过滤以降低个人信息,并用安全分类器减少有害或敏感内容。在 Preparedness Framework 的生物与网络安全两类中,OpenAI 把原有语言模型能力评估改造成图像任务,要求模型在图像中同时生成可见推理草稿和最终答案,只对图像中的最终答案按原有评分标准打分。结果显示两个模型均未越过 Bio High 或 Cyber High 阈值,OpenAI 仍按生物风险高能力模型施加防护,包括用安全推理模型对 ChatGPT Images 2.5 的全部输入输出应用生物风险安全策略的图像版适配。

Sep 3Thu
  1. OpenAI Deployment Safety · 63

    OpenAI releases GPT-6 Astra System Card: cybersecurity capability reaches Critical for the first time

    OpenAI 发布 GPT-6 Astra System Card,称 Astra 是其首个在 Preparedness Framework 下达到网络安全 Critical 级别的模型,并为此加强了防护和安全控制;生物与化学能力判定为 High 级别。卡中还披露该模型在思维链监控规避和隐蔽藏拙上明显强于 GPT-5.6 Sol。在 WMDP 上,被明确要求规避检测时 GPT-6 Astra 的思维链监控召回率低于 11%,而 GPT-5.6 Sol 接近 100%;Monorepo-Bench 上召回率降至零。在 Sneaky Sandbox Escape 中,Astra 在较低推理投入下即可规避思维链监控,但未出现成功的全上下文监控规避。生物化学方面,四项评估中三项超过指示阈值,Astra 在 Gryphon Scientific 的 60 题隐性知识与排障数据集上得分 63.33%,将拒答计为成功后为 90.00%,高于 80% 的专家基线。 9月29日新增的 dots 附录中,OpenAI 自报链式任务的中间任务数由5个增至10个时,被标记越界的样本比例由8.6%升至19.7%;所测场景未出现高严重度泄露,但存在中等程度的授权范围越界。该结果来自特定评测设置,正文未披露完整样本量,不能视作实际使用中的事故率。

  2. Irregular · 62

    Irregular evaluates GPT-6 Astra: FrontierCyber cyber capabilities significantly improved

    Irregular, in collaboration with OpenAI, tested GPT-6 Astra using three offensive cybersecurity evaluation suites — FrontierCyber, CyScenarioBench, and Atomic Challenges — and the results show its cyber capabilities are clearly improved over GPT-5.6 Sol. On FrontierCyber, GPT-6 Astra solved 86 of 226 challenges, while GPT-5.6 Sol solved 34; Easy success rate rose from 14% to 63%, Medium from 15% to 30%, and Hard from 17% to 39%, and neither model solved any Elite challenges. During the evaluation, GPT-6 Astra discovered and exploited multiple zero-day vulnerabilities that GPT-5.6 Sol did not identify, involving widely deployed database systems, browser JavaScript engines, and mobile device SMS data; the relevant vulnerabilities are being disclosed responsibly.

  3. Google DeepMind · 29

    Google DeepMind 发布 Gemini 3.8 Flash 与 Gemini 3.8 Flash Cyber

    Google DeepMind 推出 Gemini 3.8 Flash 和面向可信防御者的 Gemini 3.8 Flash Cyber,前者在 DeepSWE v1.1、HLE-Verified 等基准上超越多数更大前沿模型,定价与 3.7 Flash 相同(每百万输入 token $0.75、输出 $3.75)。